Maloof: America unprepared for devastating EMP 'Black Swan'

USA Army calculation of a single EMP bomb impact on USA

USA Army calculation of a single EMP bomb impact on USA

E. Michael Maloof reported the following:

America unprepared for devastating‘Black Swan’

September 22, 2015

WASHINGTON – Supply-chain disruptions often are the result of adverse weather, unplanned telecom outages, data breaches or even cyber hacking.

However, the one “Black Swan” event that would make these instances pale by comparison and result in a cascading disruption is a natural or man-made electromagnetic pulse event.

A “Black Swan” is an event regarded at the time of its occurrence as unprecedented and unexpected but later, in hindsight, understood to have been inevitable.

An EMP is in that category, since scientific experts repeatedly warn that a major EMP event is not a question of if, but when.

Barrett Moore, a security specialist and founder of the security company Triple Canopy, told WND that federal officials have modeled the effects of a “Black Swan” event on the timely delivery of food, water, fuel, medical care and technology. But they have done it primarily for the government’s benefit. …

“Seeing potential for large-scale chaos,” Barrett said, “they have mitigated this risk for themselves by investing hundreds of billions of dollars in a continuity-of-government plan that has overseen the construction, equipping and provisioning of over 100 classified ‘haven’ facilities accessible only to families and staff of government officials,” he said.

“No parallel provisions have been made in our country for the general population,” he said. …

A natural EMP event would be a direct hit on Earth from a massive solar storm, while a man-made EMP would be a high-altitude nuclear bomb burst instigated by any adversarial country with a nuclear weapon and a missile-delivery system.

Given the level of U.S. unpreparedness, it is estimated that within 12 months of an EMP event, two-thirds to 90 percent of the U.S. population would likely perish from starvation, disease and societal breakdown, according to the Secure the Grid Coalition. …

One of the coalition’s spokesmen is Peter Vincent Pry, who told WND that “political gridlock” in Washington has hindered the implementation of any of a number of cost-effective plans to protect the national electrical grid.

He said the electric grid is the “keystone” infrastructure necessary to recover all other critical infrastructures. Protection of the grid from an EMP – which Pry said is the “worst threat” – will also enhance overall grid security against all other threats including cyber attack, sabotage and severe weather.

Pry is a former analyst for the Central Intelligence Agency who serves as executive director of the congressional Task Force on National and Homeland Security and director of the U.S. Nuclear Strategy Forum.

Pry also was staff director of the congressionally mandated EMP Commission, which in 2008 looked at the impact of an EMP on the nation’s vital infrastructure.

“While gridlock in Washington has prevented the federal government from protecting the national electric power infrastructure, threats to the grid – and to the survival of the American people – from EMP and other hazards are looming ever larger,” Pry said. “Grid vulnerability to EMP and other threats is now a clear and present danger.”

What do black swans have to do with anything? Notice also the following:

The black swan theory or theory of black swan events  . . . was developed by Nassim Nicholas Taleb to explain:

  1. The disproportionate role of high-profile, hard-to-predict, and rare events that are beyond the realm of normal expectations in history, science, finance, and technology
  2. The non-computability of the probability of the consequential rare events using scientific methods (owing to the very nature of small probabilities)
  3. The psychological biases that make people individually and collectively blind to uncertainty and unaware of the massive role of the rare event in historical affairs (Wikipedia, viewed 12/12/13)

There are various economic catastrophes including war, famine, and pestilences (Matthew 24:4-8) and troubles (Mark 13:8), like debt, will cause a massive catastrophe in the future.  And a man-made EMP (electromagnetic pulse) event could be one of the coming troubles as I have warned readers for many years.

An EMP attack could possibly come from hostile nations, like Iran:

WASHINGTON – Iran’s development of a …  “Shariah-compliant” bomb could “threaten the existence of the United States,” according to two experts.

The agreement would not prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear device that it could detonate at high altitude over the U.S. to create an electromagnetic pulse, or EMP, that would destroy the nation’s critical infrastructure, write James Woolsey, former director of the Central Intelligence Agency, and Peter Vincent Pry, executive director of the EMP task Force on National and Homeland Security, in the Washington Times.

Iran could obtain such a device relatively easily “by cheating in the use of the nuclear infrastructure permitted them under the agreement,” they assert.

Because an EMP destroys electronics directly but people indirectly, it is regarded by some Muslim scholars as a “Shariah-compliant” use of a nuclear weapon,” Woolsey and Pry explain. …

Pry said that the Iranians already know the capability of an EMP and recently acquired sanctions-prohibited surge arresters to harden “key facilities against EMP attack for some time.”

“Since Iran openly admits it is cheating on EMP filters – going to great trouble and expense to circumvent international sanctions prohibiting the import of EMP filters – it seems very likely they would continue to cheat to advance their even higher priority nuclear weapons program,” Pry told WND. …

“Iran’s recently translated military textbook and other military writings describe making a nuclear EMP attack against the United States as a way of defeating the U.S. and eliminating America as an actor on the world stage,” Pry told WND. “Is Iran protecting itself against nuclear EMP attack a reflection of what it plans to do to others?”

Pry said that Iran has orbited several satellites on south polar trajectories to evade U.S. early-warning radars and the National Missile Defense System at altitudes that would place an EMP field over all 48 contiguous U.S. states. ... Read full article

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