Brexit, Farage, Trump, and USA-UK Relations


Despite protesters in the USA and many disappointed in Europe, some in the UK see benefits in a Donald Trump presidency:

10 November 2016

Britain’s vote to leave the European Union put some wind into Mr Trump’s sails at a vital moment. He was personally on hand on June 24th (visiting one of his golf courses in Scotland) to celebrate the referendum result—and even to claim it as his own. It was a great victory for his kind of politics, he declared. During the last weeks of campaigning in America he repeatedly referred to Brexit, adopting its slogans and telling voters that he would deliver “Brexit-plus-plus-plus” (meanwhile his opponent, Hillary Clinton, used the catchphrase “stronger together”, an echo of the “stronger in” slogan used by the Remain campaign).  …The congruity between the Brexit and Trump campaigns is not surprising, for Britain and American politics often march in lockstep, with plenty of cross-fertilisation. …

The “special relationship” is nowadays referred to solely in terms of intelligence-sharing and security, but it has often been as much about politics. So it is once more. Can Britain take advantage of that?

10 November 2016

Nigel Farage has claimed to be “the catalyst” for the rise of Donald Trump … Farage, the interim Ukip leader, was increasingly open in his backing for Trump …

“I’m the catalyst for the downfall of the Blairites, the Clintonites, the Bushites, and all these dreadful people who work hand in glove with Goldman Sachs and everybody else, have made themselves rich, and ruined our countries,” Farage replied. “I couldn’t be happier.”

Farage continued: “That Obama creature – loathsome individual – he couldn’t stand our country. He said we’d be at the back of the queue, didn’t he?”

He contrasted this with what he said would be Trump’s pro-UK views: “What was interesting was that Trump said we’d be at the front of the queue. However imperfect Donald Trump may be, and my goodness he is, his mother was Scottish, he owns Turnberry, he spends a lot of time in our country, he loves our country, what we stand for and our culture.”

10 November 2016

Since Britain voted for Brexit in June, EU leaders have adopted a tough stance towards the UK. They insist there will be no pre-negotiations before formal divorce talks begin next year. They reject any suggestion that Britain can retain significant access to the single market if it erects barriers to EU migrants. Overall, in Brussels the view of the British has been cold, dismissive and defiant.

After Donald Trump’s election triumph, some are asking whether Europe’s approach now needs to be more accommodating. …

Mr Trump’s victory may give the British much more leverage with the EU over a future trade deal. Until now, the British have appeared ready to risk reduced access to Europe’s single market without any certainty over how they can sign new trade deals with non-EU states. Mr Trump has signalled that he is prepared to sign a US-UK trade pact quickly. This gives the UK more valuable leverage in the divorce negotiation, something Brussels cannot ignore.

(For those not particularly familiar with this, Brexit stands for BRitish EXIT from the European Union. On June 23, 2016, contrary to the views of the pollsters, the citizens of the UK voted to leave the European Union.)

For many years, I have written that we would likely see improved trade ties between the UK and the USA. I even wrote that when Barack Obama basically said the opposite. Notice the following from April 23, 2016 in the post titled Germans again protest TTIP; Might Obama’s successor negotiate post-Brexit trade with the UK?:

Now, US President Obama made a statement to the UK that if it pulls out of Europe, the USA will not immediately negotiate trade deals with it, but put it in the back of the line:

April 22, 2016

President Barack Obama said Britain would be at “the back of the queue” to negotiate a trade agreement with the U.S. if it votes to leave the European Union, in a direct assault on the arguments of those who say the U.K. could win better deals outside the bloc.

“Some of the folks on the other side have been ascribing to the United States certain actions we will take if the U.K. does leave the EU,” Obama said at a joint press conference in London Friday with Prime Minister David Cameron. “For example, that, well, we’ll just cut our own trade deals” with the U.S. “Maybe at some point down the line there might be a U.K.-US trade agreement, but it’s not going to happen anytime soon.”

The intervention is a boost to Cameron as he fights to keep Britain inside the 28-nation EU, with the use of the British word “queue” rather than the more American “line” suggesting the White House may have coordinated on the language.

The above could be perceived in the UK, by pro AND anti-Brexit forces as an insult.  In my view, what Barack Obama said will galvanize the anti-EU Brexit forces and could help them win.  As I posted yesterday:

Despite what Barack Obama is urging, if the UK does vote to leave it will likely draw the UK closer to, and not farther from, its ‘blood brother,’ the USA.

Should Britain vote to exit (Brexit) the EU on June 23, 2016, it is not likely that the major US presidential candidates will publicly state that the UK will be in the back of the line for trade talks. It is more likely that they will want to make a deal with the UK as that would likely be a lot easier than making one with the entire EU.

Now, with Donald Trump as the President-elect, it looks like there may be closer trade ties between the USA and the UK. And various ones in the UK realize this.

This will not make the EU happy, and later they ultimately will take actions that will NOT turn out well for the USA (Daniel 8:24-25a, 11:39)–nor for the UK (Daniel 8:24-25a).

But trade deals between the USA and UK could perhaps be a means to lengthen the ‘prosperity’ of the those nations if they turn away from some of their sins (cf. Daniel 4:27).

News presenter: John Hickey.