(Above from ChatGPT)
Is at least half of humanity at risk of elimination?
Yes.
Notice the following from Slay News:
Top Scientists Warn of Global Population Plunge: Half of Humanity Wiped Out in Under 40 Years
June 8, 2026
Scientists are warning that humanity may be far more vulnerable to catastrophic population decline than previously believed, with a new study suggesting the global population could be cut in half within just four decades if a major worldwide crisis dramatically reduces Earth’s ability to sustain human life.
The alarming findings come from researchers at the University of Milan, who analyzed 12,000 years of human population data to model how civilization would respond to extreme environmental, social, or economic shocks.
Their research, published in the journal Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, paints a stark picture of how quickly population numbers could unravel if the planet’s carrying capacity suddenly collapses.
Global Population Could Plunge by Billions
According to the study, Earth’s current population of approximately 8.3 billion people is heavily dependent on stable access to food, water, energy, and functioning social systems.
Researchers modeled a hypothetical scenario in which a major global catastrophe dramatically reduced the planet’s carrying capacity, the maximum number of people Earth can sustainably support.
If that carrying capacity were suddenly reduced to just 2 billion people due to events such as widespread resource shortages, major wars, the rise of AI, the continuing fertility crisis, or global disasters, the model projected that the human population could fall by roughly 50% by 2064.
Under such a scenario, instead of growing toward the expected 8 to 10 billion people, the world’s population would decline to approximately 4 to 5 billion.
The researchers asserted that the findings are not an “announcement of an apocalypse.” https://slaynews.com/top-scientists-warn-global-population-plunge-half-humanity-wiped-out-40-years/
If the scientists who did the study paid attention to the Book of Revelation, often referred to as the Book of the Apocalypse, they would have included disease epidemics/pestilences as a major cause of death that will hit humanity–referred to as the beasts of the earth in the ride of the fourth horseman of the Apocalypse:
7 When He opened the fourth seal, I heard the voice of the fourth living creature saying, “Come and see.” 8 So I looked, and behold, a pale horse. And the name of him who sat on it was Death, and Hades followed with him. And power was given to them over a fourth of the earth, to kill with sword, with hunger, with death, and by the beasts of the earth. (Revelation 6:7-8)
Here are some comments from a sermon by the late evangelist John Ogwyn:
The grave followed him, and the power was given unto him over the fourth part of the earth to kill with the sword, with hunger, with death, and with the beast of the earth. This refers here specifically to pestilence and to the other death, the pestilence, the disease epidemics that come right on the heels of famine, which comes right on the heels of warfare. …
The culmination of these four seals, brethren, of the war, the famine, the disease epidemic, are going to see the fourth part of the earth die. Brethren, that is one billion people.
One billion people are going to die in the aftermath, because that’s the population of the world today, right at four billion people, and when the fourth part of the earth dies, that’s one billion people that are going to be killed in warfare, and are going to starve to death, that are going to die in rampant disease epidemics that are going to sweep this nation. …
Now, notice back in Matthew 24, the parallel to this, Matthew 24:8, All these are the beginning of sorrows.
Then shall they deliver you to be afflicted, and shall kill you, and you shall be hated of all nations for my name’s sake. Then shall many be offended, and shall betray one another, and shall hate one another.
Coming on down a little bit further, going down to verse
21, For then shall be great tribulation, such as was not since the beginning of the world to this time, no, nor ever shall be, ever shall be again. And except those days should be shortened, there would no flesh be saved alive, but for the elect saints those days shall be shortened.
As you go back to Jeremiah chapter 30, we find from Matthew’s account and from the book of Revelation that it is a time of persecution on the church. And if you want to know which era of the church, you go back to Revelation 12, and you find the last two eras are differentiated.
The Philadelphia church is taken to a place in the wilderness, a place to be protected, and that then the serpent goes to make war with the remnant, those that are left behind. …
Alright the remnant of her seed are those that are left behind. So it’s persecution on the Laodicean church, but Jeremiah 30:7 also brings out someone else that persecuted.
Alas, for that day is great, so that none is like it. It is even the time of Jacob’s struggle, but he shall be saved out of it. Now, in Jeremiah 30 verse 7, it says, the day is great, so that none is like it.
Now, in Matthew 24, it says, verse 21 (Matthew 24:21), there will be great tribulation, such as was not since the beginning of the world at this time, nor ever shall be. So we have obviously the same event, because it’s spoken of in both places as being an event without parallel in terms of magnitude. So the time of persecution and martyrdom of the Laodicean church is also called the time of Jacob’s trouble, because it will be a national holocaust, …
So just as the events of Lamentations prophesy of the original destruction of Jerusalem, of the destruction of Jerusalem under Titus, it looks forward in a greater way. And in its final fulfillment and impact, it looks forward to the end time. It looks forward to the events of the Great Tribulation, and it is a prophecy.
It is a national lament. It’s a prophecy of the Great Tribulation. Lamentations 1:2, talking of Israel, She weeps sore in the night, and her tears are on her cheeks.
Among all her lovers she has none to comfort her. All her friends have dealt treacherously with her. They have become her enemies.
The nations we think are our allies. We’re going to find out they’re our enemies. They’re going to stab us in the back. …
Ezekiel tells us the magnitude of it in Ezekiel 5:12.
A third part of you shall die with a pestilence and with famine. With famine shall they be consumed in the midst of you, and a third part shall fall by the sword round about. And I will scatter a third part into all the winds, and I will draw out a sword after them.
So, that’s the breakdown. A third part will die with pestilence and famine. A third part will die by the sword, and a third part will be taken into captivity.
Amos tells us that the city that goes forth a thousand will only return a hundred. The city that goes forth a hundred will only return ten. There’s a parallel here. …
Chapter 9 … It talks about, verse 18, by these three was the third part of men killed, by the fire, by the smoke and the brimstone which issued out of their mouths. That’s evidently talking about a thermonuclear exchange that Europe will have invaded Russia and invaded Asia. And all of a sudden, God is going to remove the restraints.
He’s going to turn some of these demon spirits loose, and there’s going to be a thermonuclear exchange. Now, you remember that a fourth part of man had already been killed. We started out with 4 billion.
A fourth part narrows it down to 3 billion. Now, a third part of man is going to be killed. That would be another billion as a result of this nuclear warfare. (Ogwyn J. The Meaning of the Feast of Trumpets. Sermon Date: September 22, 1979. https://www.hwalibrary.com/cgi-bin/get/hwa.cgi?action=getsermon&InfoID=1441135909)
So, John Ogywn is pointing to half of humanity dying, though not quite the way the article in Slay News has it.
He also has 90% of the descendants of Israel dying. That looks to be consistent with Isaiah 6:13 which shows only a tenth look to make it back.
Regarding the non-Israelite population and Philadelphian Christians fleeing, consider the following that John Ogywn pointed to that Jesus said:
20 And pray that your flight may not be in winter or on the Sabbath. 21 For then there will be great tribulation, such as has not been since the beginning of the world until this time, no, nor ever shall be. 22 And unless those days were shortened, no flesh would be saved; but for the elect’s sake those days will be shortened. (Matthew 24:20-22)
Regarding those fleeing, Jesus only promised protection to the Philadelphian Christians from this coming “hour of trial”:
7 “And to the angel of the church in Philadelphia write,
‘These things says He who is holy, He who is true, “He who has the key of David, He who opens and no one shuts, and shuts and no one opens”: 8 “I know your works. See, I have set before you an open door, and no one can shut it; for you have a little strength, have kept My word, and have not denied My name. 9 Indeed I will make those of the synagogue of Satan, who say they are Jews and are not, but lie — indeed I will make them come and worship before your feet, and to know that I have loved you. 10 Because you have kept My command to persevere, I also will keep you from the hour of trial which shall come upon the whole world, to test those who dwell on the earth. (Revelation 3:7-10)
Let me add that Zephaniah makes it clear that those who wish to be protected need to gather together BEFORE the decree (to flee) is made:
1 Gather yourselves together, yes, gather together,
O undesirable nation,
2 Before the decree is issued,
Or the day passes like chaff,
Before the Lord’s fierce anger comes upon you,
Before the day of the Lord’s anger comes upon you!
3 Seek the Lord, all you meek of the earth,
Who have upheld His justice.
Seek righteousness, seek humility.
It may be that you will be hidden
In the day of the Lord’s anger. (Zephaniah 2:1-3)
Those who think that they can remain independent and know when to flee when it is time have not fully understood what God inspired Zephaniah to warn.
That being said, the fact that Jesus stated, “And unless those days were shortened, no flesh would be saved” seems to say more than 50% of humanity dying prior to the start of the millennial kingdom.
Other scriptures (e.g. Revelation 11:18) suggest that as well.
As far what we need to see before the Great Tribulation starts, we have the following related video:
14:28
Countdown to the Great Tribulation
Is 2026 the year the Great Tribulation finally begins? Is this is the start if a Sabbatical cycle some have postulated countdowns to the return of Jesus? Is a Sabbatical cycle or Jubilee year even mentioned by Jesus as a leading indicator of the Great Tribulation? Jesus, Himself, pointed to events, including some written by the prophet Daniel. If God has placed some of the understanding of the signs of the beginning of the Great Tribulation in the words of Daniel the prophet till the time of the end, what are those signs? If 2026 is not the year the Great Tribulation begins, could any of the signs mentioned in the book of Daniel begin to take place in 2026? Could this year be the beginning of the end? Do you want to know? In Matthew 24:3 Jesus’ disciples wanted to know. Of course, we know Jesus said no one knows the day or the hour, but Jesus also told us in Matthew 24:33 that we will know when it is at the very doors! What about the timing of Armageddon? Surely you, just like the disciples, want to know. Watch this video as Dr. Thiel shines the light of Biblical prophecy on the future of the possibilities that await us in the new calendar year. Listen as Dr. Thiel explains the scriptures that prophesy a seven year (one week) ‘peace deal’ in Daniel, the breaking of that deal, the rise of the king of the north and the king of the south, the Great Tribulation and the return of our Lord and Savior. The time for the countdown to begin is close at hand.
Here is a link to our video: Countdown to the Great Tribulation.
After listing events that would happen, Jesus told those who would listen:
36 Watch therefore, and pray always that you may be counted worthy to escape all these things that will come to pass, and to stand before the Son of Man. (Luke 21:36)
And that is what true Christians should do.
Some items of possibly related interest may include:
When Will the Great Tribulation Begin? 2026, 2027, or 2028? Can the Great Tribulation begin today? What happens before the Great Tribulation in the “beginning of sorrows”? What happens in the Great Tribulation and the Day of the Lord? Is this the time of the Gentiles? When is the earliest that the Great Tribulation can begin? What is the Day of the Lord? Who are the 144,000? A short video is available titled: Countdown to the Great Tribulation.
There is a Place of Safety for the Philadelphians. Why it May Be Near Petra This article discusses a biblical ‘place of safety’ and includes quotes from the Bible and Herbert W. Armstrong on this subject–thus, there is a biblically supported alternative to the rapture theory. Two sermon-length videos of related interest are available Physical Protection During the Great Tribulation and Might Petra be the Place of Safety? Here is something related in the Spanish language: Hay un lugar de seguridad para los Filadelfinos. ¿Puede ser Petra?
Is There A Secret Rapture for the Church? When and Where is the Church Protected? What does the Bible really teach? Does the Church flee or is it taken up just prior to the great tribulation? Who really is left behind? Here are links to two related videos Rapture or Fleeing? Which is Great Tribulation Protection? and Did Jesus Teach a Pre-tribulation Rapture?
The ‘Peace Deal’ of Daniel 9:27 This prophecy could give up to 3 1/2 years advance notice of the coming Great Tribulation. Will most ignore or misunderstand its fulfillment? Here is a link to a related sermon video Daniel 9:27 and the Start of the Great Tribulation.
Does God Have a 6,000 Year Plan? What Year Does the 6,000 Years End? Was a 6000 year time allowed for humans to rule followed by a literal thousand year reign of Christ on Earth taught by the early Christians? Does God have 7,000 year plan? What year may the six thousand years of human rule end? When will Jesus return? 2033 or 20xx? There is also a video titled 6000 Years: When will God’s Kingdom Come? Here is a link to the article in Spanish: ¿Tiene Dios un plan de 6,000 años?
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