The European Union has been trying to finalize a major trade deal it agreed to with several South American nations:
EU-Mercosur Trade Deal: Protectionism, Politics, And US Pressure Explained
September 7, 2025
After a two-decade stalemate, there is now movement in the trade agreement between the EU and the Mercosur states of South America. Donald Trump’s hardline policies have made this possible, while criticism comes from the usual suspects.
A quarter of a century ago, in 2000, trade talks began between the EU and the Mercosur states – Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay, and Uruguay, with Venezuela joining in the meantime. Mercosur aims to reduce trade barriers, establish an integrated customs regime, and create its own internal market, similar to European structures.
The Struggle of Protectionists
It has always been a tough negotiation, but on Wednesday, the European Commission approved the version of the agreement last presented at the end of 2024. The core point is the reduction of tariffs on the majority of goods, covering European industrial products such as machinery, vehicles, and pharmaceuticals, as well as South American agricultural and raw material exports. At the same time, the agreement provides trade quotas and protective measures to shield sensitive sectors—especially European agriculture—from incoming competition. Around 350 geographical indications are intended to protect the uniqueness of European products—EU protectionism in its purest form.
Under no circumstances should the Mercosur agreement be called a free trade agreement, even if political feuilletons like to do so. The idea that open competition is the best consumer protection and the most efficient way to supply markets is still far from reality in both South America and the European Union.
Hidden Trade Barriers
Another focus of the agreement is on sustainability and regulation: Mercosur companies must comply with EU environmental and social standards and provide proof of “deforestation-free” production and adherence to the EU’s carbon taxonomy. …
South America Under Pressure
Resource-rich South America has long realized that the era of the great export boom is over—primarily due to China’s ongoing economic crisis. …
New markets must be opened, especially for raw materials and agricultural exports. This is why the Mercosur agreement with the EU is again gaining attractiveness for South American states, provided it can at least partially breach the EU’s high protective barriers. …
If an agreement is eventually reached between Mercosur and the EU, much of the credit goes to pressure from Washington. Donald Trump, above all, put massive pressure on European exporters through his tariff regime, forcing the opening of new markets. https://www.zerohedge.com/economics/eu-mercosur-trade-deal-protectionism-politics-and-us-pressure-explained
Europe sees the trade deal with the South American regional trading bloc Mercosur as a chance to open new markets and strengthen is hand. But resistance to the deal is unlikely to let up anytime soon. …
The European Commission took the first step on Wednesday to ratify a long-awaited free-trade package with Latin American countries: an agreement with Mexico, and, crucially, one with members of the Mercosur trading bloc.
The EU spent over 25 years negotiating the deal with Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay and Paraguay, the four founding members of the Southern Common Market, or Mercosur. Bolivia, which joined the group only last year, and Venezuela, whose membership has been suspended, are not included in the deal. …
What is the EU-Mercosur deal about?
The agreement aims to facilitate the flow of goods between the EU’s member states and the four Mercosur economies. The EU says this would create one of the world’s biggest trade zones with over 780 million people and could help soften the blow of US tariffs by opening new export opportunities.
“It’s probably one of the most significant and economically impactful trade argeements that have been concluded,” Ignacio Garcia Bercero, senior fellow at the Brussels-based think tank Bruegel and former EU official told DW.
According to the agreement, over the course of several years, the two sides will lift over 90% of the respective tariffs they currently apply to each other’s products. …
Is the EU bypassing democratic oversight?
After decades of negotiation, the European Commission is now seeking a swift conclusion. “We would like to complete the approval process for Mercosur by the end of this year,” Sefcovic said.
To speed things up, the Commission has presented the trade deal as a “split agreement” — separate from a more comprehensive agreement with Mercosur covering areas like political or judicial cooperation.
Because this deal covers areas of exclusive EU competence, decisions on the deal can be met at the EU-level rather than involving individual national parliaments. …
Garcia Bercero told DW that the ratification of the trade deal would send a strong political message to the world.
“In a world in which you are facing such huge threat towards rules, it’s important to show that like-minded democracies are ready to cooperate,” he said. Volatile US tariff policies and challenges in trading with China made the deal with Mercosur even more crucial, he added.
Should the deal fail, he fears it could damage the EU’s reputation: “The message to the rest of the world would be that the EU is not a reliable trading partner.” https://www.dw.com/en/eu-mercosur-trade-deal-angers-farmers-environmentalists/a-73880624
The deal between the European Union and the Mercosur block is a big deal. And yes, it is pressure from Donald Trump that has further motivated the EU to make a deal, as well as at least Brazil as it has been hit the hardest of the players involved by the tariffs of the Trump Administration.
Furthermore, the EU does not want China to move in more–it wants the deal.
The EU attempting to expand trade was number 8 in my list of . Here are some excerpts:
8. Trade
Not all warfare is militaristic. There is also economic warfare.
This often involves trade.
The major use of sanctions, mainly pushed by the USA, has been continuing.
This is affecting trade and pushing trade away from the USA. But also encouraging the Anglo-nations to try to increase trade with each other.
Back in 2008, I posted the following:
In the spirit of accommodation and personal interest, many of the “standards” of the European Union will be adopted by the USA, Canada and Mexico, as well as by nearly all of the countries of the world. The Arab nations will most likely agree with many of the standards as they seem to be destined to form a brief end-time alliance with the Europeans (The Arab World In the Bible, History, and Prophecy).
However, over time, it will become increasingly clear that the British will be in more agreement with the Canadians and Americans and that the European Union in more agreement with the Mexicans than the EU will have with the English-speaking nations.
Trade wars and/or serious trade disputes will most likely arise.
The Brits will ultimately decide that they are more supportive of the Americans and Canadians. They will be so much more supportive that they will end up in a trading agreement with them (with the Australians and New Zealanders probably also becoming part of that agreement).
The EU will decide that Mexico and the rest of Latin America are in more agreement with it and thus make some type of serious trading agreement with most (or all) of Latin America. The Vatican will also have influence here as Latin America is highly Roman Catholic.
The Europeans and Americans, however, will continue to have military agreements, though many will be tense about them. (Thiel B. A Combined EU & North American Trade Block Coming? COGwriter.com, March 3, 2008)
Since the above was posted, the Europeans and Americans continue to have military agreements, the UK essentially reduced its trade from the rest of Europe because of Brexit, today we see a UK-NZ trade deal, the EU has made trade deals with Mexico and Latin America (see EU’s Juncker essentially verified accuracy of 2008 COGwriter prediction on trade), the USA made a new trade deal with Canada (see Brexit: ‘The end is nigh’ and Donald Trump signs Canada-Mexico trade deal), the UK and EU continue to have trade friction (see DW: EU-UK trade war looming as Northern Ireland Protocol tensions hit boiling point), and the EU has continued to push its standards (which is one of the reasons there is an issue related to Brexit and Northern Ireland). In 2021, the UK made deals with New Zealand (see CNN: New Zealand and the United Kingdom reach free trade deal) and Australia (see UK & Australia make trade deals, so?). And the USA made a special deal with the UK and Australia (see AUKUS alliance; EU wants its own stronger military).
Expect the USA, UK, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand to try to increase trade with each other.
Donald Trump feels that the USA and UK have a special relationship and he will look to make a more favorable trade deal with the UK than with the rest of Europe.
And Europe?
Well, Donald Trump’s reelection is a major concern for Europe and its trade.
In 2018, I wrote:
The Europeans have been working with Latin America, China, Russia’s Eurasian Union, and other areas of the world to try to set up its dominance of world trade as well as standards for world trade. (19 items to prophetically watch in 2019)
Such deals have been happening. But expect more concrete action, at least partially because of the reelection of Donald Trump, along with J.D. Vance.
Europe will reach out to various ones in Asia and Africa, as well as Latin America. In the next several years, deals and more trade will occur with Africa, Asia, and Latin America.
Energy and climate change issues will affect trade in 2025. …
Expect more trade conflict between Europe and the USA and UK.
The Bible shows that Europe will, for a time, dominate trade (cf. Revelation 17 and 18).
As far as another confirmed prediction in 2024 goes, notice something I posted the morning after the November 5th presidential election:
According to the major media, Donald Trump won re-election. … Europe will get more serious about trade deals with others internationally, such as being more motivated to approve the trade deal with the Mercosur block of South America. (Thiel B. Media declares Donald Trump won the election–now what? y Donald trump y eventos para observar. COGwriter, November 6, 2024)
Then, a month later:
December 6, 2024
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen sealed a massive trade agreement with South America on Friday, in a bold step that threatens to widen a rift between France, which hates the deal, and her native Germany, which loves it. …
The accord, which eluded von der Leyen in her first term, marks a massive geopolitical win as she embarks on her second. It seeks to deepen ties between the EU and Mercosur — which comprises Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay, Paraguay and newcomer Bolivia — just as Donald Trump threatens to launch a global trade war when he returns as U.S. president next month.
“We are sending a clear and powerful message,” von der Leyen told a joint press conference. “In an increasingly confrontational world, we demonstrate that democracies can rely on each other. This agreement is not just an economic opportunity. It is a political necessity.” https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-mercosur-countries-seal-controversial-trade-deal/?utm_medium=social&utm_source=LinkedIn
Yes, world events are aligning with properly understood biblical prophecies.
That said, in 2025 Europe will work on getting more of the world to accept its standards and trading matters. This will help Europe ultimately dominate trade.
The reelection of Donald Trump will motivate many to trade with each other because of his threats of tariffs, etc.
For a time, Babylon will dominate world trade:
2 And he cried mightily with a loud voice, saying, “Babylon the great is fallen, is fallen, and has become a dwelling place of demons, a prison for every foul spirit, and a cage for every unclean and hated bird! 3 For all the nations have drunk of the wine of the wrath of her fornication, the kings of the earth have committed fornication with her, and the merchants of the earth have become rich through the abundance of her luxury.” (Revelation 18:2-3).
While ‘Babylon’ will not fully reign in 2024 {meant 2025}, with the USA pulling out of trade deals and/or wishing to change them, steps are occurring that are pushing Europe to dominate trade (watch Trade Wars: Are COG warnings coming to pass?).
The final time of the Gentiles is approaching. We are seeing BRICS, the Global South, the EU, and others working on ways to trade and not have to deal with the descendants of Ephraim (UK, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand) and Manasseh (the USA).
The Europeans will work with many nations to secure stronger trade agreements.
Notice that in the above, I had the following:
notice something I posted the morning after the November 5th presidential election:
According to the major media, Donald Trump won re-election. … Europe will get more serious about trade deals with others internationally, such as being more motivated to approve the trade deal with the Mercosur block of South America. (Thiel B. Media declares Donald Trump won the election–now what? y Donald trump y eventos para observar. COGwriter, November 6, 2024)
And that is true and is in the process of coming to pass. It is also true that there is trade friction between the EU and the USA.
It is also true that the deal that the USA made with the UK related to trade is more favorable than the Trump Administration has been negotiating with the EU.
Things will not turn out as Donald Trump hopes (cf. Daniel 11:39).
Related to future trade, we put together the following video:
14:49
Trade Wars – and the Winner will be …
US President Trump imposed tariffs on a global scale. Those tariffs were imposed on friend and foe alike. It seems as if President Trump is no respecter of nations. But how will this work out for the United States? Will these tariffs result in other nations drawing closer together that have had rather cold, and even not so cold, relations in the past? Will global tariffs result in trade wars? Were the events which are happening predicted by any in the Continuing Church of God? Is Europe drawing closer to China? Is Europe drawing closer to Latin and South America? With the exception of a few of America’s allies, is the net result of these tariffs a worldwide scramble to create new alliances and new trading partners to the exclusion of the United States? What will be the future result of these new alliances? Many of the nations that are now seeking new alliances were just recently America’s allies. They were her friends. Dr. Thiel brings to light the fate of America and her allies at the hands of her former friends, as revealed in the book of Lamentations. As we rapidly approach the end times listen in as Dr. Thiel brings to light world events. Then listen as he shines the light of Bible prophecy directly on the questions raised from these world events.
Here is a link to our video: Trade Wars – and the Winner will be …
As far as what is ahead for Latin America, including those in Mercosor, we put out the following sermon videos:
1:11:42
Latin America in Prophecy
Which biblical figures did the Latin Americans descend from? What does the Bible teach will happen to their descendants in the future? What will happen to the non-Latin peoples in Central America, South America, and the Caribbean? Is Europe in the process of making major trade deals with Latin America? What kind of religious, legal, and cultural ties are there between Europe and Latin America? What about Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Columbia, Ecuador, Paraguay, Peru, Uruguay, and Venezuela in prophecy? What about Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, and Panama? What about islands like Cuba, Puerto Rico, and the Dominican Republic? How about the non-Latin lands like Belize, Guyana, Suriname, and French Guiana? Plus, the non-Latin island nations like Jamaica, Barbados, the Bahamas, Martinique, etc.? Does the Bible tell of specific items of trade between Europe and Latin America in Ezekiel 27 and Revelation 18? What about the impact of US President Donald Trump? Is it possible that Mexico or others in Latin America could work militarily with the coming European Beast power to attack the USA? Will the nations of Mexico, South America, Central America, and the Caribbean prosper during the time of the Great Tribulation and Mystery Babylon the Great? What happens during the Day of the Lord? Will people in Latin America respond to God’s calling before Jesus returns? What happens after Mystery Babylon falls? Does God have any plans to offer salvation to Latin Americans who never had an opportunity? What is available at www.cdlidd.es and www.ccog.org? What are some of the near-term and longer-term prophecies that will affect Latin America? Dr. Thiel addresses these issues and more.
Here is a link to the sermon: Latin America in Prophecy.
Some items of possibly related interest may include:
Mexico, Central America, South America, Brazil, and the Caribbean in Prophecy [Español: México, América central, Suramérica, Brasil y el Caribe en la profecía] [Português: México, América Central, Ámérica do Sul, e Brasil na profecia] What will happen to those of Latin America? Will they have prosperity? Will they cooperate with Europe? Will they suffer in the future? What role might the various Caribbean nations/territories play? Two videos of related interest are available: Will Mexico Regain USA Territories? and: Latin America in Prophecy.
Europa, the Beast, and Revelation Where did Europe get its name? What might Europe have to do with the Book of Revelation? What about “the Beast”? Is an emerging European power “the daughter of Babylon”? What is ahead for Europe? Here is are links to related videos: European history and the Bible, Europe In Prophecy, and Can You Prove that the Beast to Come is European? See also EU’s Global Gateway, Trade, and War?
Lost Tribes and Prophecies: What will happen to Australia, the British Isles, Canada, Europe, New Zealand and the United States of America? Where did those people come from? Can you totally rely on DNA? What about other peoples? Do you really know what will happen to Europe and the English-speaking peoples? What about Africa, Asia, South America, and the Islands? This free online book provides scriptural, scientific, historical references, and commentary to address those matters. Here are links to related sermons: Lost tribes, the Bible, and DNA; Lost tribes, prophecies, and identifications; 11 Tribes, 144,000, and Multitudes; Israel, Jeremiah, Tea Tephi, and British Royalty; Gentile European Beast; Royal Succession, Samaria, and Prophecies; Asia, Islands, Latin America, Africa, and Armageddon; When Will the End of the Age Come?; Rise of the Prophesied King of the North; Christian Persecution from the Beast; WWIII and the Coming New World Order; and Woes, WWIV, and the Good News of the Kingdom of God.
Unintended Consequences and Donald Trump’s Presidency: Is Donald Trump Fulfilling Biblical, Islamic, Greco-Roman Catholic, Buddhist, and other America-Related Prophecies? Is Donald Trump going to save the USA or are there going to be many disastrous unintended consequences of his statements and policies? What will happen. The link takes you to a book available at Amazon.com.
Unintended Consequences and Donald Trump’s Presidency: Is Donald Trump Fulfilling Biblical, Islamic, Greco-Roman Catholic, Buddhist, and other America-Related Prophecies? Kindle edition is available for only US$3.99. And you do not need an actual Kindle device to read it. Why? Amazon will allow you to download it to almost any device: Please click HERE to download one of Amazon s Free Reader Apps. After you go to for your free Kindle reader and then go to Unintended Consequences and Donald Trump’s Presidency: Is Donald Trump Fulfilling Biblical, Islamic, Greco-Roman Catholic, Buddhist, and other America-Related Prophecies?
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